When the mood strikes, I will post predictions of geopolitical events. Predictions aren’t a key component of what I do, but they are based on the analysis and thoughts I offer on the site. My hope is that they will provide you (and me) with thoughtful entertainment while challenging me to do my best work. I hope to keep track of my success rate and critique my work over time, and you’re welcome join me by sharing your thoughts on and modifications of my predictions.